Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.018883 0.020260 0.021689 0.023283 0.025013 0.026836 0.028904
2026-02-08 0.016350 0.018301 0.020426 0.022918 0.025766 0.028928 0.032715
2026-02-15 0.014757 0.017040 0.019617 0.022753 0.026479 0.030784 0.036161
2026-02-22 0.013524 0.016009 0.018895 0.022512 0.026950 0.032249 0.039104
2026-03-01 0.012573 0.015200 0.018326 0.022346 0.027416 0.033645 0.041955
2026-03-08 0.011776 0.014502 0.017815 0.022174 0.027808 0.034910 0.044649
2026-03-15 0.011195 0.014020 0.017523 0.022228 0.028448 0.036480 0.047785
2026-03-22 0.010626 0.013511 0.017151 0.022136 0.028863 0.037742 0.050545
2026-03-29 0.010141 0.013077 0.016843 0.022092 0.029315 0.039050 0.053410
2026-04-05 0.009679 0.012644 0.016507 0.021979 0.029647 0.040185 0.056070
2026-04-12 0.009312 0.012317 0.016288 0.022005 0.030156 0.041572 0.059147
2026-04-19 0.009017 0.012070 0.016162 0.022142 0.030816 0.043189 0.062636
2026-04-26 0.008598 0.011645 0.015787 0.021932 0.030999 0.044173 0.065313
2026-05-03 0.008161 0.011176 0.015330 0.021582 0.030957 0.044824 0.067527
2026-05-10 0.007818 0.010825 0.015020 0.021426 0.031187 0.045883 0.070432
2026-05-17 0.007481 0.010465 0.014679 0.021201 0.031292 0.046741 0.073051
2026-05-24 0.007188 0.010156 0.014396 0.021046 0.031489 0.047740 0.075946
2026-05-31 0.006915 0.009862 0.014122 0.020886 0.031661 0.048700 0.078820
2026-06-07 0.006716 0.009671 0.013990 0.020937 0.032164 0.050208 0.082716
2026-06-14 0.006494 0.009435 0.013779 0.020850 0.032436 0.051344 0.086021
2026-06-21 0.006297 0.009228 0.013604 0.020810 0.032775 0.052601 0.089614
2026-06-28 0.006096 0.009007 0.013396 0.020704 0.032997 0.053662 0.092907
2026-07-05 0.005937 0.008844 0.013272 0.020728 0.033433 0.055110 0.096999